Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Grant 52.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 60.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 60.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Dvorak
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dvorak
Grant
Last 6: Dvorak 1-5 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Dvorak
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
3
Dvorak
Grant
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
53.4% (511)
-2.2%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
55.6% (18)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
50.0% (68)
+2.7%
On power play, Grant has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Dvorak shoots left. Grant is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Grant
Home
53.9% (523)
56.1% (344)
Away
49.2% (616)
49.0% (253)
By Period
Dvorak
Grant
P1
56.7%
49.4%
P2
50.0%
56.1%
P3
46.7%
54.0%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Derek Grant |