Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Grant 48.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 58.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 67.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 57.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Dvorak
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Dvorak
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
49.1% (222)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
76.5% (17)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
45.3% (181)
+12.1%
On power play, Grant has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Grant
Home
59.0% (432)
49.8% (223)
Away
54.8% (535)
47.2% (197)
By Period
Dvorak
Grant
P1
58.7%
43.9%
P2
53.9%
49.7%
P3
57.2%
51.4%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |