Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Grant 54.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 77.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 59.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 58.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Dvorak
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dvorak
Grant
Last 6: Dvorak 1-5 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Grant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Dvorak
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Dvorak
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
56.5% (308)
-4.3%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
65.3% (49)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
48.5% (136)
+5.0%
On power play, Grant has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Grant
Home
54.1% (423)
60.3% (257)
Away
50.2% (494)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Dvorak
Grant
P1
51.4%
54.7%
P2
52.0%
54.0%
P3
52.4%
57.1%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Derek Grant |