Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Grant 51.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 87.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 75.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 63.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Dvorak
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Dvorak
Grant
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Grant
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Grant
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
51.7% (480)
+2.3%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
63.0% (54)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
47.5% (160)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Dvorak shoots left. Grant is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Grant
Home
58.6% (444)
54.8% (334)
Away
52.1% (505)
48.6% (360)
By Period
Dvorak
Grant
P1
54.5%
54.7%
P2
53.6%
46.1%
P3
57.1%
54.2%
OT
56.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |