Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs Grant 50.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 68.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 58.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 53.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Dvorak
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Dvorak
Grant
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
12
1
Dvorak
Grant
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
9
Dvorak
Grant
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Dvorak
Grant
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
54.5% (415)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
42.9% (14)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
41.6% (137)
+6.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Dvorak is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (835).
Dvorak shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Grant
Home
55.0% (516)
51.5% (266)
Away
49.3% (546)
50.7% (300)
By Period
Dvorak
Grant
P1
54.9%
48.3%
P2
51.1%
52.2%
P3
51.0%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | OT | 00:44 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Derek Grant |