Christian Dvorak vs Derek Stepan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Stepan 46.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 54.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 51.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Dvorak
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Dvorak
Stepan
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Stepan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
4
Dvorak
Stepan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
46.5% (10,204)
+6.5%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
48.8% (1,593)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
44.2% (1,368)
+6.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dvorak shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stepan
Home
54.7% (4,115)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Dvorak
Stepan
P1
54.5%
47.5%
P2
51.8%
45.6%
P3
53.0%
46.8%
OT
56.9%
40.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |