Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Stepan 53.4% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Dvorak
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
55.3% (358)
-3.1%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
0.0% (3)
+49.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
50.8% (61)
+2.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stepan
Home
54.1% (423)
57.7% (213)
Away
50.2% (494)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Dvorak
Stepan
P1
51.4%
56.3%
P2
52.0%
48.9%
P3
52.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%