Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Strome 48.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 79.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 77.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Dvorak
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Strome
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Dvorak
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
48.3% (894)
+3.9%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
50.5% (182)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
66.7% (6)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Strome
Home
54.1% (423)
46.4% (513)
Away
50.2% (494)
51.0% (569)
By Period
Dvorak
Strome
P1
51.4%
44.9%
P2
52.0%
50.8%
P3
52.4%
49.7%
OT
60.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |