Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Strome 53.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 86.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 93.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 63.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Dvorak
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Dvorak
Strome
Last 10: Dvorak 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Dvorak
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
1
Dvorak
Strome
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
52.6% (968)
+3.8%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
56.9% (311)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
62.5% (8)
-11.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Strome
Home
55.1% (501)
53.4% (653)
Away
56.4% (559)
53.9% (634)
By Period
Dvorak
Strome
P1
55.8%
49.3%
P2
52.5%
54.6%
P3
58.2%
56.7%
OT
63.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |