Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Miller 53.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 53.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 52.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Dvorak
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Miller
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Miller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Dvorak
Miller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
55.5% (933)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
61.6% (73)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
45.8% (227)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Miller
Home
59.0% (432)
53.5% (578)
Away
54.8% (535)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Dvorak
Miller
P1
58.7%
58.3%
P2
53.9%
53.5%
P3
57.2%
50.1%
OT
70.6%
70.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |