Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Miller 57.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 91.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 54.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 69.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Dvorak
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dvorak
Miller
Last 6: Dvorak 5-1 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Dvorak
Miller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
0
Dvorak
Miller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
58.2% (823)
-1.8%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
58.2% (165)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
58.9% (90)
-8.3%
On power play, Dvorak has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Miller
Home
55.1% (501)
59.1% (558)
Away
56.4% (559)
57.3% (520)
By Period
Dvorak
Miller
P1
55.8%
60.7%
P2
52.5%
57.5%
P3
58.2%
56.1%
OT
63.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |