Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Hughes 37.9% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 90.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 69.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Dvorak
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
34.9% (444)
+17.3%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
50.0% (14)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
33.3% (6)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hughes
Home
54.1% (423)
37.4% (235)
Away
50.2% (494)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Dvorak
Hughes
P1
51.4%
37.1%
P2
52.0%
33.7%
P3
52.4%
34.8%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |