Christian Dvorak vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Pageau 58.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 83.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Dvorak
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dvorak
Pageau
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Dvorak
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
59.1% (687)
-5.4%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
69.4% (36)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
60.1% (213)
-12.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pageau
Home
53.6% (461)
57.8% (377)
Away
52.9% (507)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Dvorak
Pageau
P1
54.1%
54.1%
P2
52.9%
62.1%
P3
53.8%
61.8%
OT
36.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |