Christian Dvorak vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Pageau 58.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 60.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 76.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 67.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Dvorak
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Dvorak
Pageau
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
6
Dvorak
Pageau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
2
Dvorak
Pageau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Dvorak
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
59.6% (711)
-3.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
64.0% (114)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
56.4% (163)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pageau
Home
55.1% (501)
59.3% (506)
Away
56.4% (559)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Dvorak
Pageau
P1
55.8%
56.8%
P2
52.5%
64.4%
P3
58.2%
56.9%
OT
63.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |