Christian Dvorak vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Pageau 55.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 59.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Dvorak
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Pageau
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Dvorak
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Dvorak
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
57.1% (905)
-0.1%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
55.2% (116)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
48.0% (204)
+2.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dvorak is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dvorak shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pageau
Home
58.3% (151)
57.0% (618)
Away
57.4% (190)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Dvorak
Pageau
P1
56.7%
54.4%
P2
56.7%
61.0%
P3
59.6%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |