Christian Dvorak vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 70.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 76.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 55.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
52.8% (670)
+3.6%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
37.5% (32)
+31.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
14.3% (7)
+36.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
Home
55.1% (501)
52.5% (366)
Away
56.4% (559)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.8%
53.8%
P2
52.5%
49.2%
P3
58.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |