Christian Dvorak vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 71.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 50.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Dvorak 2-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
3
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
49.0% (3,852)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
51.3% (351)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
45.7% (35)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
Home
54.7% (4,115)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Dvorak
Kotkaniemi
P1
54.5%
49.9%
P2
51.8%
50.4%
P3
53.0%
47.2%
OT
56.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |