Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +23.0% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+23.0%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 56.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 68.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 59.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Dvorak
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
34.4% (535)
+22.6%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
42.9% (21)
+40.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Carlsson
Home
58.3% (151)
38.6% (254)
Away
57.4% (190)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Dvorak
Carlsson
P1
56.7%
35.9%
P2
56.7%
33.8%
P3
59.6%
34.3%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
61.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%