Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 56.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 90.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 81.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Dvorak
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dvorak
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Dvorak
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
41.8% (648)
+14.6%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
37.3% (51)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
38.7% (31)
+11.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Carlsson
Home
55.1% (501)
44.5% (362)
Away
56.4% (559)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Dvorak
Carlsson
P1
55.8%
46.3%
P2
52.5%
35.1%
P3
58.2%
43.9%
OT
63.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |