Christian Dvorak vs Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 58.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 88.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 78.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Dvorak
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dvorak
Celebrini
Last 6: Dvorak 4-2 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
2
Dvorak
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Celebrini
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
47.2% (901)
+9.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
54.7% (139)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
54.5% (11)
-3.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Celebrini
Home
55.1% (501)
47.6% (553)
Away
56.4% (559)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Dvorak
Celebrini
P1
55.8%
46.6%
P2
52.5%
46.4%
P3
58.2%
51.8%
OT
63.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |