Christian Dvorak vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Celebrini 48.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 56.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 79.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 66.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Dvorak
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Dvorak
Celebrini
Last 10: Dvorak 9-1 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
0
Dvorak
Celebrini
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Celebrini
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
48.2% (924)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
52.8% (108)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
56.0% (25)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Celebrini
Home
53.6% (461)
47.8% (523)
Away
52.9% (507)
49.8% (534)
By Period
Dvorak
Celebrini
P1
54.1%
47.8%
P2
52.9%
47.4%
P3
53.8%
51.1%
OT
36.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |