Christian Dvorak vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 90.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 57.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 73.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Dvorak
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dvorak
Kastelic
Last 7: Dvorak 2-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Dvorak
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
Dvorak
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
61.2% (340)
-7.5%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
83.3% (6)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
56.0% (141)
-8.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kastelic
Home
53.6% (461)
60.9% (233)
Away
52.9% (507)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Dvorak
Kastelic
P1
54.1%
58.6%
P2
52.9%
58.7%
P3
53.8%
63.1%
OT
36.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.3%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |