Christian Dvorak vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 79.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 64.9%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 59.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Dvorak
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Dvorak
Kastelic
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
1
Dvorak
Kastelic
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
4
Dvorak
Kastelic
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
6
Dvorak
Kastelic
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
57.0% (1,613)
-4.0%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
80.0% (25)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
53.6% (274)
-2.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dvorak shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kastelic
Home
54.7% (4,115)
58.9% (895)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Dvorak
Kastelic
P1
54.5%
58.5%
P2
51.8%
56.9%
P3
53.0%
55.3%
OT
56.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |