Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.2% vs Duchene 51.0% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Dvorak
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (555)
51.4% (177)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.3% (86)
75.0% (8)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (61)
20.0% (5)
+34.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dvorak shoots left. Duchene is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Duchene
Home
53.1% (341)
48.8% (41)
Away
54.3% (361)
52.3% (149)
By Period
Dvorak
Duchene
P1
52.8%
47.6%
P2
53.4%
62.3%
P3
55.7%
46.2%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.7%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%