Christian Dvorak vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 59.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Dvorak
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Dvorak
Duchene
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
9
Dvorak
Duchene
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
9
2
Dvorak
Duchene
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Dvorak
Duchene
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,536)
54.0% (10,249)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.6% (967)
56.9% (1,620)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (866)
49.3% (467)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,390).
Dvorak shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (7,938).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Duchene
Home
54.6% (3,995)
55.6% (6,270)
Away
51.8% (4,374)
52.7% (6,090)
By Period
Dvorak
Duchene
P1
54.4%
54.5%
P2
51.8%
54.5%
P3
53.1%
53.4%
OT
58.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |