Christian Dvorak vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs McCarron 54.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 57.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Dvorak
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
McCarron
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Dvorak
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
54.2% (756)
+2.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
55.6% (9)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
55.1% (158)
-4.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McCarron
Home
55.1% (501)
54.6% (445)
Away
56.4% (559)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Dvorak
McCarron
P1
55.8%
53.6%
P2
52.5%
55.6%
P3
58.2%
53.7%
OT
63.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |