Christian Dvorak vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.8%). Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs McCarron 52.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 83.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 72.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Dvorak
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Dvorak
McCarron
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
5
Dvorak
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
53.1% (672)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
18.2% (11)
+35.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
53.7% (205)
-6.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McCarron
Home
53.6% (461)
52.8% (477)
Away
52.9% (507)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Dvorak
McCarron
P1
54.1%
56.5%
P2
52.9%
53.2%
P3
53.8%
49.0%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 01:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |