Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Acciari 53.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 50.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 60.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 59.5%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Dvorak
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Dvorak
Acciari
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
54.5% (532)
-2.3%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
62.5% (8)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
48.8% (86)
+4.7%
On power play, Acciari has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Acciari
Home
54.1% (423)
56.2% (281)
Away
50.2% (494)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Dvorak
Acciari
P1
51.4%
53.4%
P2
52.0%
57.1%
P3
52.4%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |