Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Acciari 51.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 89.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 70.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 58.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Dvorak
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dvorak
Acciari
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
4
Dvorak
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
53.0% (285)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
31.3% (16)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
50.8% (183)
-3.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Acciari
Home
53.6% (461)
53.2% (267)
Away
52.9% (507)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Dvorak
Acciari
P1
54.1%
53.1%
P2
52.9%
51.1%
P3
53.8%
50.6%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |