Christian Dvorak vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 54.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 69.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 61.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Dvorak
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
19
(33 meetings)
14
19
Dvorak
Stastny
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
10
Dvorak
Stastny
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
7
5
Dvorak
Stastny
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Dvorak
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,536)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.6%
Power Play
55.6% (967)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (866)
52.9% (1,119)
-1.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,390).
Dvorak shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stastny
Home
54.6% (3,995)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.8% (4,374)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Dvorak
Stastny
P1
54.4%
56.3%
P2
51.8%
55.4%
P3
53.1%
53.5%
OT
58.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | OT | 04:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |