Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Stastny 56.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 83.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 67.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Dvorak
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dvorak
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Dvorak
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
57.5% (412)
-5.3%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
60.0% (65)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
44.4% (9)
+9.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stastny
Home
54.1% (423)
58.3% (276)
Away
50.2% (494)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Dvorak
Stastny
P1
51.4%
63.7%
P2
52.0%
57.3%
P3
52.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
52.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |