Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 56.6%). Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 63.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Dvorak
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dvorak
Stastny
Last 6: Dvorak 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Dvorak
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
59.2% (370)
-3.5%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
40.9% (44)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
51.7% (58)
+5.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stastny
Home
59.0% (432)
57.7% (215)
Away
54.8% (535)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Dvorak
Stastny
P1
58.7%
57.7%
P2
53.9%
54.2%
P3
57.2%
57.7%
OT
70.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |