Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 47.1% vs Stastny 55.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 81.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 86.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 86.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Dvorak
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dvorak
Stastny
Last 5: Dvorak 0-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Dvorak
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Dvorak
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
55.4% (1,004)
-8.5%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
59.0% (210)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
54.1% (196)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Dvorak shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stastny
Home
47.5% (526)
56.5% (717)
Away
46.0% (480)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Dvorak
Stastny
P1
48.0%
56.7%
P2
46.3%
57.7%
P3
46.2%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |