Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Poehling
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Poehling 46.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 85.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 68.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Dvorak
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dvorak
Poehling
Last 6: Dvorak 5-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
46.5% (269)
+5.7%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
66.7% (3)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
42.4% (139)
+11.1%
On power play, Poehling has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Poehling
Home
54.1% (423)
45.2% (177)
Away
50.2% (494)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Dvorak
Poehling
P1
51.4%
47.7%
P2
52.0%
44.4%
P3
52.4%
44.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |