Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Poehling
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Poehling 50.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 50.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dvorak
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dvorak
Poehling
Last 7: Dvorak 3-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Dvorak
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
52.6% (622)
+3.8%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
58.3% (12)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
39.8% (103)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Poehling
Home
55.1% (501)
53.2% (393)
Away
56.4% (559)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Dvorak
Poehling
P1
55.8%
50.9%
P2
52.5%
56.2%
P3
58.2%
46.1%
OT
63.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |