Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Strome 45.0% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 52.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 83.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 80.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Dvorak
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dvorak
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Dvorak
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
44.1% (749)
+11.6%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
46.2% (52)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
52.9% (17)
+4.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Strome
Home
59.0% (432)
45.1% (441)
Away
54.8% (535)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Dvorak
Strome
P1
58.7%
42.9%
P2
53.9%
44.4%
P3
57.2%
45.8%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |