Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Gagner 47.0% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 65.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 60.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Dvorak
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorak
Gagner
Last 5: Dvorak 3-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Dvorak
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
47.7% (86)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
25.0% (16)
+33.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Dvorak is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Dvorak shoots left. Gagner is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Gagner
Home
58.6% (444)
52.1% (48)
Away
52.1% (505)
37.0% (54)
By Period
Dvorak
Gagner
P1
54.5%
45.9%
P2
53.6%
52.9%
P3
57.1%
30.0%
OT
56.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |