Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Gagner 52.4% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 70.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 70.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Dvorak
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
76.5% (17)
-19.5%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
28.6% (7)
+54.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Dvorak is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dvorak shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Gagner
Home
58.3% (151)
75.0% (16)
Away
57.4% (190)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Dvorak
Gagner
P1
56.7%
25.0%
P2
56.7%
64.3%
P3
59.6%
83.3%
Final 5 min
61.8%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%