Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Gagner 47.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 55.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 59.2%
Neutral zone
Gagner 56.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Dvorak
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dvorak
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Dvorak
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
51.3% (158)
+4.4%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
66.7% (36)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
33.6% (110)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Gagner
Home
59.0% (432)
53.2% (154)
Away
54.8% (535)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Dvorak
Gagner
P1
58.7%
35.6%
P2
53.9%
52.7%
P3
57.2%
51.9%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |