Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.7% vs Steel 49.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 70.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 70.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Dvorak
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Steel
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (203)
49.5% (204)
+7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
33.3% (9)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dvorak is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Dvorak shoots left. Steel is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Steel
Home
56.5% (138)
53.2% (77)
Away
53.4% (88)
46.9% (143)
By Period
Dvorak
Steel
P1
56.5%
45.5%
P2
57.6%
49.4%
P3
52.1%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |