Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Steel 52.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 55.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 54.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Dvorak
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dvorak
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
56.9% (320)
-0.5%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
71.4% (7)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
37.0% (73)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Steel
Home
55.1% (501)
55.9% (202)
Away
56.4% (559)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Dvorak
Steel
P1
55.8%
55.5%
P2
52.5%
55.1%
P3
58.2%
50.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |