Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Steel 50.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 56.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 57.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Dvorak
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
17
(36 meetings)
19
17
Dvorak
Steel
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
8
Dvorak
Steel
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
10
2
Dvorak
Steel
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Dvorak
Steel
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
50.6% (2,876)
+2.4%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
62.6% (179)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
37.4% (254)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Steel
Home
54.7% (4,115)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Dvorak
Steel
P1
54.5%
51.9%
P2
51.8%
49.5%
P3
53.0%
49.6%
OT
56.9%
41.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2021 | OT | 03:47 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Sam Steel |