Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.7%). Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs Nosek 51.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 60.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 63.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Dvorak
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dvorak
Nosek
Last 8: Dvorak 3-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Dvorak
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
52.7% (355)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
28.6% (7)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
44.0% (25)
+4.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Dvorak is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (835).
Dvorak shoots left. Nosek is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nosek
Home
55.0% (516)
52.8% (214)
Away
49.3% (546)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Dvorak
Nosek
P1
54.9%
54.2%
P2
51.1%
53.1%
P3
51.0%
46.4%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |