Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Nosek 51.4% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 55.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 51.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Dvorak
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
54.4% (215)
+2.6%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
0.0% (1)
+83.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
23.5% (17)
+26.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nosek
Home
58.3% (151)
50.4% (127)
Away
57.4% (190)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Dvorak
Nosek
P1
56.7%
51.4%
P2
56.7%
51.3%
P3
59.6%
53.2%
Final 5 min
61.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%