Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Nosek 51.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 75.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Dvorak
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Dvorak
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
53.0% (400)
+3.4%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
33.3% (12)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
45.5% (44)
+5.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nosek
Home
55.1% (501)
49.6% (244)
Away
56.4% (559)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Dvorak
Nosek
P1
55.8%
53.1%
P2
52.5%
51.4%
P3
58.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |