Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 56.0%). Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 53.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Dvorak
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Seguin
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Dvorak
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
56.5% (712)
-0.8%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
59.7% (67)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
44.9% (49)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Seguin
Home
59.0% (432)
58.5% (402)
Away
54.8% (535)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Dvorak
Seguin
P1
58.7%
58.4%
P2
53.9%
54.7%
P3
57.2%
54.1%
OT
70.6%
72.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | OT | 04:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 17, 2022 | OT | 04:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |