Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Seguin 54.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 68.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Dvorak
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Dvorak
Seguin
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
4
Dvorak
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
55.0% (713)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
56.7% (104)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
47.2% (53)
+6.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Seguin
Home
54.1% (423)
56.2% (443)
Away
50.2% (494)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Dvorak
Seguin
P1
51.4%
54.2%
P2
52.0%
52.9%
P3
52.4%
57.1%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |