Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Fischer wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fischer 39.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.2%
Defensive zone
Fischer 56.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Fischer
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fischer
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (188)
42.7% (478)
-7.6%
Power Play
33.3% (24)
42.9% (98)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
45.2% (31)
-27.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Fischer is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Fischer shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Fischer
Hayes
Home
29.6% (108)
43.5% (232)
Away
38.3% (115)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Fischer
Hayes
P1
30.4%
40.1%
P2
38.9%
44.8%
P3
32.9%
42.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fischer
34.0%▼
40.0%
34.1%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%