Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Fischer wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fischer 43.4% vs Hayes 56.3% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Fischer
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fischer
Hayes
Last 5: Fischer 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Fischer
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Fischer
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fischer
2
0
Fischer
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fischer
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (201)
56.6% (724)
-16.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.0% (79)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
65.7% (35)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Fischer is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Fischer shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Fischer
Hayes
Home
44.8% (96)
58.0% (405)
Away
36.9% (122)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Fischer
Hayes
P1
37.3%
54.7%
P2
41.4%
55.7%
P3
43.1%
60.2%
Final 5 min
42.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fischer
34.0%▼
40.0%
40.4%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Christian Fischer |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Christian Fischer |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |