Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Carter 58.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 74.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 61.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 52.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Giroux
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Giroux
Carter
Last 8: Giroux 3-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Giroux
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Giroux
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
59.7% (727)
+0.0%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
68.1% (72)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
53.2% (139)
-1.6%
On power play, Carter has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Giroux is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Giroux shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Giroux
Carter
Home
59.5% (580)
58.7% (455)
Away
57.3% (641)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Giroux
Carter
P1
56.6%
61.3%
P2
58.0%
57.1%
P3
60.8%
59.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
64.7%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |